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New Surveys Show Smart Cards Trending Up – ActivIdentity Blog

It’s not every day you see your predictions come true. We’ve known for awhile that the threat environment was increasing. So far in 2011 Sony, Sega, RSA, Epsilon, HBGary, and WordPress together have had 178 million to 218 million user accounts, email addresses, token seed files or "records" stolen. The scale of the
breaches, and hunger for publicity of some of the hackers, have heightened awareness to say the least. Still, there have been hacking sprees and malware storms in the past that did not lead to a visible proactive response from the IT community. Even when predictions make sense they don’t always come true.
Today however, a previously predicted increase in smart card adoption seems to both make sense and be true. The data on this comes from a just-released research report by Aberdeen Group analyst Derek Brink, titled "
The Case For Smart Cards."
- This report evaluates data from several longitudinal surveys and previous reports with some interesting findings: Between December 2010 and May 2011 surveys show a 1.5-2x increase in the number of organizations who planned to use smart cards in the next 12 months, or are evaluating smart cards.
- The same surveys showed 2.5-3x decrease in the number of organizations who planned to use OTP or were evaluating OTP.
- RSA's breach is offered as a partial explanation for these trends.
- Referenced reports indicate traditional perimeter defense is full of holes, traditional passwords are insecure, and privileged accounts are often unmanaged (allowing account escalation).
- The maturation of the smart card ecosystem and the CMS appliance option are called out several times as favorable to new smart card adoption.
- The report is very positive on the multi-purpose (multi-layered strong authentication) nature of smart cards.
While it is heartening to see a positive response to negative events, there are still worries about where we go from here. It is likely the highly publicized hacks we’ve seen this year are just the tip of the iceberg. Some of the most dangerous hacker types—organized criminals, unscrupulous competitors and state actors—will take great pains to conceal their successful data thefts, rather than advertise them. How do we get IT groups to respond to those?
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